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Inflation continues to run well above the Fed’s longer-run target of around 2.0%. The Consumer Price Index (CPI) was up 7.0% year-over-year in December, versus up 6.8% year-over-year in November. Core CPI (CPI less food and energy) was up 5.5% year-over-year in December, versus up 4.9% in November.

Job growth slowed in December, with US nonfarm payroll growth of just 199,000 in the month versus the consensus forecast of 450,000, but the unemployment rate still declined to 3.9%, the lowest level since February 2020.