Recent Posts

Rates Rise as Jobs Weaken

October 2, 2026 Employers added 29,000 jobs in September, well short of the 90,000 economists expected, and revisions removed a

Strong Data Sparks Yield Surge

September 25, 2026 Financial markets repriced the outlook for interest rates this week as incoming data pointed to continued economic

Fed Raises Rates

September 18, 2026 The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) raised the federal funds target range by a quarter point on

Fed Faces Tough Rate Decision

September 11, 2026 Inflation data took center stage this week ahead of next Wednesday’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) and

Jobs Data Shifts Fed Outlook

September 4, 2026 The prior week’s Jackson Hole keynote by new Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh struck a more hawkish

Fed Signals Patience

August 28, 2026 Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh delivered his first Jackson Hole address this morning, placing inflation firmly at

February 2021 – Bond Market Review

We believe financial market participants are mostly shrugging off current economic data, which have been somewhat soft (including last week’s employment report), in anticipation of a stronger recovery later this year. The recent passage of a $900 billion COVID-19 fiscal relief bill should help cushion the economy over the next few months, and an additional $1.9 trillion relief package is currently under negotiation. Meanwhile, the White House is also crafting a proposal for a ~$2 trillion infrastructure spending plan. Although the economy and labor market continue to face significant headwinds from the pandemic, we believe robust fiscal spending, along with the Fed’s highly accommodative monetary policy framework should continue to provide support for the financial markets. There has also been meaningful progress on vaccines, and we expect widespread distribution in the second and third quarter of 2021, which should help accelerate consumer spending and overall economic activity later this year.

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Holiday Closure Notice:

Chandler will be closed on Monday, October 12 in observance of Columbus Day