Recent Posts

Energy Pushes CPI Higher

June 12, 2026 Inflation returned to the center of the market narrative this week as the May Consumer Price Index

Strong Hiring Supports Growth

June 5, 2026 Employment data from this week reinforced that the US labor market remains on solid footing, pushing US

Strong Jobs, Cooling Inflation

May 29, 2026 Constructive comments from the White House on a continuation of the cease fire with Iran supported moderately lower Treasury

The $4 Trillion Conundrum

An Analysis of the Federal Reserve’s Balance Sheet and Reduction Operations

The severity of the last Great Recession motivated monetary policy makers in the United States and abroad to dig deep into their toolbox to assist their economies in a time of great economic stress. Not only did the Federal Reserve (Fed) lower the fed funds rate to zero, and keep it there for many years, they also increased the size of their balance sheet from $800 billion to $4.5 trillion. By implementing large scale security purchase programs, the Fed anticipated their involvement in the market would lower longer tenor interest rates. The Fed hoped lower longer-term rates would motivate individuals and businesses to take on debt for projects or investments that would stimulate the economy. The Fed’s balance sheet, formally known as Federal Reserve System Open Market Account (SOMA), traditionally held foreign currency reserves and Treasury securities, but as the Fed implemented their plans to help the economy, the balance sheet swelled with agency mortgage backed securities (MBS), agency debentures, and additional Treasury securities.

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Holiday Closure Notice:

Chandler will be closed on Friday, July 3 in observance of Independence Day.