Recent Posts

Rates Rise as Jobs Weaken

October 2, 2026 Employers added 29,000 jobs in September, well short of the 90,000 economists expected, and revisions removed a

Strong Data Sparks Yield Surge

September 25, 2026 Financial markets repriced the outlook for interest rates this week as incoming data pointed to continued economic

Fed Raises Rates

September 18, 2026 The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) raised the federal funds target range by a quarter point on

Fed Faces Tough Rate Decision

September 11, 2026 Inflation data took center stage this week ahead of next Wednesday’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) and

Jobs Data Shifts Fed Outlook

September 4, 2026 The prior week’s Jackson Hole keynote by new Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh struck a more hawkish

Fed Signals Patience

August 28, 2026 Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh delivered his first Jackson Hole address this morning, placing inflation firmly at

The $4 Trillion Conundrum

An Analysis of the Federal Reserve’s Balance Sheet and Reduction Operations

The severity of the last Great Recession motivated monetary policy makers in the United States and abroad to dig deep into their toolbox to assist their economies in a time of great economic stress. Not only did the Federal Reserve (Fed) lower the fed funds rate to zero, and keep it there for many years, they also increased the size of their balance sheet from $800 billion to $4.5 trillion. By implementing large scale security purchase programs, the Fed anticipated their involvement in the market would lower longer tenor interest rates. The Fed hoped lower longer-term rates would motivate individuals and businesses to take on debt for projects or investments that would stimulate the economy. The Fed’s balance sheet, formally known as Federal Reserve System Open Market Account (SOMA), traditionally held foreign currency reserves and Treasury securities, but as the Fed implemented their plans to help the economy, the balance sheet swelled with agency mortgage backed securities (MBS), agency debentures, and additional Treasury securities.

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Holiday Closure Notice:

Chandler will be closed on Monday, October 12 in observance of Columbus Day