Recent Posts

Labor Market Softens

August 7, 2026 The July employment report was the week’s dominant story as U.S. employers unexpectedly cut jobs during the

Fed Holds Amid Mixed Signals

This week included the much-anticipated Federal Open Market Committee meeting concluding on July 29th. The Federal Reserve held its policy

Treasury Yields Rise on Data

July 24th, 2026 A renewed climb in oil prices and firm economic data pushed U.S. Treasury yields to fresh highs

Core Inflation Shows Moderation

July 17th, 2026 The week’s marquee economic data releases showed inflation cooling more than expected in June. Headline Consumer Price

The $4 Trillion Conundrum

An Analysis of the Federal Reserve’s Balance Sheet and Reduction Operations

The severity of the last Great Recession motivated monetary policy makers in the United States and abroad to dig deep into their toolbox to assist their economies in a time of great economic stress. Not only did the Federal Reserve (Fed) lower the fed funds rate to zero, and keep it there for many years, they also increased the size of their balance sheet from $800 billion to $4.5 trillion. By implementing large scale security purchase programs, the Fed anticipated their involvement in the market would lower longer tenor interest rates. The Fed hoped lower longer-term rates would motivate individuals and businesses to take on debt for projects or investments that would stimulate the economy. The Fed’s balance sheet, formally known as Federal Reserve System Open Market Account (SOMA), traditionally held foreign currency reserves and Treasury securities, but as the Fed implemented their plans to help the economy, the balance sheet swelled with agency mortgage backed securities (MBS), agency debentures, and additional Treasury securities.

Read More

Holiday Closure Notice:

Chandler will be closed on Friday, July 3 in observance of Independence Day.