
August 2023 – Bond Market Review
Recent economic data continues to suggest positive but below trend growth this year. Although the pace of job growth is moderating, labor markets remain solid, and the U.S. consumer has demonstrated resiliency.

Recent economic data continues to suggest positive but below trend growth this year. Although the pace of job growth is moderating, labor markets remain solid, and the U.S. consumer has demonstrated resiliency.

This week’s inflation data provided encouraging indications of moderating inflation trends. The Consumer Price Index (CPI) witnessed a monthly increase of 0.2% in July, while the annual CPI experienced a slight rise to 3.2% due to an unfavorable year-over-year comparison

On Wednesday, the US Treasury’s credit rating was downgraded by Fitch, a nationally recognized statistical ratings organization that assesses creditworthiness of various institutions, including sovereign entities. The rating was lowered from the highest level of “AAA” to “AA+”, which is only one notch below the highest possible credit rating of “AAA.” The action comes just two months after Fitch warned that it was weighing cutting the credit rating when lawmakers were in political battles over raising the nation’s debt limit.