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Labor Market Softens

August 7, 2026 The July employment report was the week’s dominant story as U.S. employers unexpectedly cut jobs during the

Fed Holds Amid Mixed Signals

This week included the much-anticipated Federal Open Market Committee meeting concluding on July 29th. The Federal Reserve held its policy

Treasury Yields Rise on Data

July 24th, 2026 A renewed climb in oil prices and firm economic data pushed U.S. Treasury yields to fresh highs

Core Inflation Shows Moderation

July 17th, 2026 The week’s marquee economic data releases showed inflation cooling more than expected in June. Headline Consumer Price

December 2024 – Bond Market Review

The results from the US elections provided some clarity to the direction of fiscal policy and removed some of the political uncertainty that had been affecting capital markets. It is our view that the Federal Reserve will continue the course of easing monetary policy as the labor market normalizes and growth trends slower. In November, consumer spending once again drove solid economic growth. While the consumer has been resilient, declining savings rates, growing credit card debt, higher delinquencies, and a moderating labor market pose potential headwinds to future economic growth. Inflationary trends are subsiding, but core levels remain above the Fed’s target. The labor market is showing signs of cooling, reflecting an improved  balance between supply and demand for workers. Given the cumulative effects of restrictive monetary policy and tighter financial conditions, we believe the economy will gradually soften and the Fed will continue to lower rates in the near-term, then pursue a moderate, data dependent pace through 2025.

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Holiday Closure Notice:

Chandler will be closed on Friday, July 3 in observance of Independence Day.