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Jobs Data Shifts Fed Outlook

September 4, 2026 The prior week’s Jackson Hole keynote by new Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh struck a more hawkish

Fed Signals Patience

August 28, 2026 Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh delivered his first Jackson Hole address this morning, placing inflation firmly at

Labor Market Softens

August 7, 2026 The July employment report was the week’s dominant story as U.S. employers unexpectedly cut jobs during the

Fed Holds Amid Mixed Signals

This week included the much-anticipated Federal Open Market Committee meeting concluding on July 29th. The Federal Reserve held its policy

Treasury Yields Rise on Data

July 24th, 2026 A renewed climb in oil prices and firm economic data pushed U.S. Treasury yields to fresh highs

May 2021 – Bond Market Review

We believe accommodative monetary policy, robust fiscal spending, and continued progress on vaccine distribution will provide meaningful tailwinds for the economy in the coming quarters. The COVID-19 vaccine rollout continues and nearly 60% of the US adult population has had at least one dose. Restaurant and bar sales accelerated in March and travel-related spending has started to rebound as the economy reopens. Overall, economic data has been largely better than expected. Meanwhile, the Biden administration continues to push forward with large-scale fiscal spending proposals. President Biden recently proposed plans for more than $4 trillion in new fiscal spending, which would be in addition to the roughly $5.5 trillion in pandemic-related fiscal spending that has already been approved since early last year. In addition, the Fed has indicated that it plans to keep the fed funds rate near zero until at least 2023. Estimates for US gross domestic product (GDP) growth this year are strong. The current Bloomberg consensus estimate for 2021 US GDP growth is 6.3%.

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