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Markets Climb as Fed Shifts

Kevin Warsh’s Senate Banking Committee confirmation hearing for Federal Reserve Chair on April 21 placed the central bank’s upcoming leadership

April 2026 Monthly Bond Market Review

Recent economic data point to moderating growth alongside rising inflation pressures, as the U.S.-Israeli military campaign against Iran that began

Geopolitics Shape Markets, Fed Watch

Geopolitical headlines continue to materially impact market sentiment, and the latest news flow has been constructive. Israel and Lebanon agreed

March 2026 Monthly Bond Market Review

February economic data continued to reflect the measured disinflationary progression that has characterized conditions throughout the post-pandemic normalization cycle, with

1/29– Weekly Economic Highlights

The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) kept monetary policy unchanged at their meeting this week as expected, with the fed funds target rate in a range of 0.0% to 0.25%. The Fed also continues to purchase $80 billion of Treasuries per month, and $40 billion of agency mortgage-backed securities per month. The decision among voting members (which includes the four new Reserve Bank Presidents that rotated onto the FOMC this year as well as new Fed Governor Christopher Waller) was unanimous. The Fed intends to remain highly accommodative until their goals of maximum employment and higher inflation are achieved. Fed Chair Powell said it would be premature to begin talking about tapering their asset purchases and said they will telegraph their plans well in advance of any changes in monetary policy. Notably, Chair Powell also said that the Fed believes inflation will pick up in the coming months, but the increase is likely to be transient. As such, we expect the Fed to look through any near-term increase in inflation, even if it begins to exceed 2.0% this spring, and is likely to keep policy on hold for at least the next 6-12 months. For now, inflation continues to run well below the Fed’s 2.0% long-run target, with the headline Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) index up just 1.3% year-over-year in December, and Core PCE up just 1.5% year-over-year in the month.

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