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Rates Rise as Jobs Weaken

October 2, 2026 Employers added 29,000 jobs in September, well short of the 90,000 economists expected, and revisions removed a

Strong Data Sparks Yield Surge

September 25, 2026 Financial markets repriced the outlook for interest rates this week as incoming data pointed to continued economic

Fed Raises Rates

September 18, 2026 The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) raised the federal funds target range by a quarter point on

Fed Faces Tough Rate Decision

September 11, 2026 Inflation data took center stage this week ahead of next Wednesday’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) and

Jobs Data Shifts Fed Outlook

September 4, 2026 The prior week’s Jackson Hole keynote by new Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh struck a more hawkish

Fed Signals Patience

August 28, 2026 Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh delivered his first Jackson Hole address this morning, placing inflation firmly at

2/26– Weekly Economic Highlights

Treasury yields climbed this week, with the 10-year Treasury yield rising roughly 12 basis points from last Friday to 1.45% (up 54 basis points year-to-date), and the 5-year Treasury yield rising 19 basis points week-over-week to 0.77% (up 41 basis points year-to-date), at the time of this report. Meanwhile, the short end of the Treasury yield curve remains anchored near 0.0%, driven by ongoing accommodative monetary policy. The ICE BofA MOVE Index (a measure of U.S. Treasury yield volatility) jumped more than 20% week-over-week, to its highest level since last April. The spread between 2-year Treasury yields and 10-year Treasury yields has widened to 131 basis points from 54 basis points in the last six months. We believe the continued steepening of the Treasury yield curve is consistent with an improving economic outlook, more widespread vaccine distribution, the anticipation of ongoing fiscal stimulus, and a pick-up in inflation.

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Holiday Closure Notice:

Chandler will be closed on Monday, October 12 in observance of Columbus Day