Recent Posts

Energy Pushes CPI Higher

June 12, 2026 Inflation returned to the center of the market narrative this week as the May Consumer Price Index

Strong Hiring Supports Growth

June 5, 2026 Employment data from this week reinforced that the US labor market remains on solid footing, pushing US

Strong Jobs, Cooling Inflation

May 29, 2026 Constructive comments from the White House on a continuation of the cease fire with Iran supported moderately lower Treasury

5/28– Weekly Economic Highlights

The Federal Reserve’s key inflation gauge was slightly higher than expected in April. The Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) index was up 3.6% year-over-year in April, versus up 2.4% year-over-year in March. Core PCE was up 3.1% year-over-year in April versus the consensus estimate of 2.9%, up from 1.9% year-over-year in March. Nevertheless, we believe the Fed is looking through the near-term inflation data. The Fed expects “base effects” (i.e., comparing current prices to prices at the early stage of the pandemic when prices were under pressure), bottlenecks, and ongoing supply chain disruptions to cause near-term pricing pressures, but the Fed still believes these factors will largely be temporary.

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Holiday Closure Notice:

Chandler will be closed on Friday, July 3 in observance of Independence Day.