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Markets Climb as Fed Shifts

Kevin Warsh’s Senate Banking Committee confirmation hearing for Federal Reserve Chair on April 21 placed the central bank’s upcoming leadership

April 2026 Monthly Bond Market Review

Recent economic data point to moderating growth alongside rising inflation pressures, as the U.S.-Israeli military campaign against Iran that began

Geopolitics Shape Markets, Fed Watch

Geopolitical headlines continue to materially impact market sentiment, and the latest news flow has been constructive. Israel and Lebanon agreed

March 2026 Monthly Bond Market Review

February economic data continued to reflect the measured disinflationary progression that has characterized conditions throughout the post-pandemic normalization cycle, with

June 2021 – Bond Market Review

Estimates for US gross domestic product (GDP) growth this year have been revised higher. The current Bloomberg consensus estimate for 2021 US GDP growth is 5.5% (following a 3.5% decline last year). Although the labor market is still a long way from a full recovery, robust fiscal support should help support the economy in the near-term. During 2020, Congress approved about $3.6 trillion in COVID-19 fiscal relief and the passage of an additional $1.9 trillion relief package is imminent. The White House is also crafting a proposal for an approximate $2 trillion infrastructure spending plan. Meanwhile, Fed policymakers remain dovish and monetary policy remains highly accommodative. Moreover, the vaccine rollout is accelerating at a faster than expected pace. Altogether, we believe these factors could set the economy up for a fairly strong second half of the year.

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