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Jobs Data Shifts Fed Outlook

September 4, 2026 The prior week’s Jackson Hole keynote by new Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh struck a more hawkish

Fed Signals Patience

August 28, 2026 Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh delivered his first Jackson Hole address this morning, placing inflation firmly at

Labor Market Softens

August 7, 2026 The July employment report was the week’s dominant story as U.S. employers unexpectedly cut jobs during the

Fed Holds Amid Mixed Signals

This week included the much-anticipated Federal Open Market Committee meeting concluding on July 29th. The Federal Reserve held its policy

Treasury Yields Rise on Data

July 24th, 2026 A renewed climb in oil prices and firm economic data pushed U.S. Treasury yields to fresh highs

8/6 – Weekly Economic Highlights

Economic data released this week was solid, highlighted by this morning’s above consensus non-farm payrolls report, which came in at 943,000 compared to the Bloomberg consensus estimate of 870,000. The employment picture is holding its own despite concerns over the coronavirus delta variant, with the three-month moving average on payrolls increased to a robust 832,000, a lower unemployment rate of 5.4%, annualized average hourly earnings up by 4%, and the labor force participation rate increasing by a tenth to 61.7%. Earlier in the week both the ISM Manufacturing and ISM Services Indices were released, with the former coming in at 59.5, a modest slowdown from the prior month, and the latter surprising to the upside, coming in at 64.1 compared to the prior months 60.1 reading. Both ISM metrics remain comfortably in expansion territory and remain consistent with the domestic economic reopening theme despite the delta variant headwinds.

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