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January 2026 Bond Market Review

December economic data signaled moderating inflation alongside a continued rebalancing in labor market conditions, with price pressures still running modestly

December 2025 – Bond Market Review

The near-term economic outlook continues to be distorted by the data delays from the government shutdown. Recently released government data—reflecting

5/21– Weekly Economic Highlights

The Conference Board’s Leading Economic Index (LEI) jumped 1.6% month-over-month in April (stronger than the 1.2% consensus forecast), following a 1.3% increase in March. On a year-over-year basis, the LEI was up 17.0% in April against a severe decline in the index in April last year. The LEI has now fully recovered and surpassed its previous prepandemic peak in January 2020. According to the Conference Board, the index suggests that economic growth may accelerate in the near term.

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