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Jobs Data Shifts Fed Outlook

September 4, 2026 The prior week’s Jackson Hole keynote by new Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh struck a more hawkish

Fed Signals Patience

August 28, 2026 Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh delivered his first Jackson Hole address this morning, placing inflation firmly at

Labor Market Softens

August 7, 2026 The July employment report was the week’s dominant story as U.S. employers unexpectedly cut jobs during the

Fed Holds Amid Mixed Signals

This week included the much-anticipated Federal Open Market Committee meeting concluding on July 29th. The Federal Reserve held its policy

Treasury Yields Rise on Data

July 24th, 2026 A renewed climb in oil prices and firm economic data pushed U.S. Treasury yields to fresh highs

10/1– Weekly Economic Highlights

Economic data remain somewhat mixed and we believe the ongoing health crisis and related supply chain bottlenecks continue to have a meaningful impact. Nevertheless, we believe the underlying momentum of the economy remains strong. Meanwhile, Covid infection rates in the US and on a global basis are declining, which gives us optimism. Notably, the ISM Manufacturing Index rose to 61.1 in September, stronger than expectations. New orders were particularly strong and the report suggests that manufacturing activity continues to expand. Meanwhile, housing prices remain quite firm, up 20% year-over-year in July, according to the Case-Shiller 20-City Composite Home Price Index.

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