Recent Posts

Energy Pushes CPI Higher

June 12, 2026 Inflation returned to the center of the market narrative this week as the May Consumer Price Index

Strong Hiring Supports Growth

June 5, 2026 Employment data from this week reinforced that the US labor market remains on solid footing, pushing US

Strong Jobs, Cooling Inflation

May 29, 2026 Constructive comments from the White House on a continuation of the cease fire with Iran supported moderately lower Treasury

Iran Conflict, Oil, Jobs, Rates

The conflict with Iran and elevated oil prices continue to dominate market sentiment. The U.S. proposed a memorandum of understanding

Markets Climb as Fed Shifts

Kevin Warsh’s Senate Banking Committee confirmation hearing for Federal Reserve Chair on April 21 placed the central bank’s upcoming leadership

1/8– Weekly Economic Highlights

U.S. nonfarm payrolls declined by 140,000 in December. It was the first monthly decline in nonfarm payrolls since April of last year and came in well below expectations for a 50,000 gain. The monthly decline was led by the leisure and hospitality sector which experienced a 498,000 net decline in payrolls in December, along with modest declines in government jobs and education and health services. The unemployment rate was unchanged in December at 6.7% and has improved significantly from the peak of 14.8% last April. Nevertheless, more than 10.7 million people remain unemployed. Workers who classified themselves as employed but absent from work in December continued to understate the unemployment rate by about 0.6%. The U-6 underemployment rate, which includes those who are marginally attached to the labor force and employed part time for economic reasons, remained high but declined to 11.7% in December from 12.0% in November. The labor participation rate was unchanged at 61.5% in December and remains well below pre-pandemic levels. We anticipate the labor market is likely to remain challenged over the near-term due to the virus, particularly in the leisure and hospitality sector.

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Holiday Closure Notice:

Chandler will be closed on Monday, May 25 in observance of Memorial Day.