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Rates Rise as Jobs Weaken

October 2, 2026 Employers added 29,000 jobs in September, well short of the 90,000 economists expected, and revisions removed a

Strong Data Sparks Yield Surge

September 25, 2026 Financial markets repriced the outlook for interest rates this week as incoming data pointed to continued economic

Fed Raises Rates

September 18, 2026 The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) raised the federal funds target range by a quarter point on

Fed Faces Tough Rate Decision

September 11, 2026 Inflation data took center stage this week ahead of next Wednesday’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) and

Jobs Data Shifts Fed Outlook

September 4, 2026 The prior week’s Jackson Hole keynote by new Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh struck a more hawkish

Fed Signals Patience

August 28, 2026 Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh delivered his first Jackson Hole address this morning, placing inflation firmly at

1/8– Weekly Economic Highlights

U.S. nonfarm payrolls declined by 140,000 in December. It was the first monthly decline in nonfarm payrolls since April of last year and came in well below expectations for a 50,000 gain. The monthly decline was led by the leisure and hospitality sector which experienced a 498,000 net decline in payrolls in December, along with modest declines in government jobs and education and health services. The unemployment rate was unchanged in December at 6.7% and has improved significantly from the peak of 14.8% last April. Nevertheless, more than 10.7 million people remain unemployed. Workers who classified themselves as employed but absent from work in December continued to understate the unemployment rate by about 0.6%. The U-6 underemployment rate, which includes those who are marginally attached to the labor force and employed part time for economic reasons, remained high but declined to 11.7% in December from 12.0% in November. The labor participation rate was unchanged at 61.5% in December and remains well below pre-pandemic levels. We anticipate the labor market is likely to remain challenged over the near-term due to the virus, particularly in the leisure and hospitality sector.

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Holiday Closure Notice:

Chandler will be closed on Monday, October 12 in observance of Columbus Day