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Jobs Data Shifts Fed Outlook

September 4, 2026 The prior week’s Jackson Hole keynote by new Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh struck a more hawkish

Fed Signals Patience

August 28, 2026 Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh delivered his first Jackson Hole address this morning, placing inflation firmly at

Labor Market Softens

August 7, 2026 The July employment report was the week’s dominant story as U.S. employers unexpectedly cut jobs during the

Fed Holds Amid Mixed Signals

This week included the much-anticipated Federal Open Market Committee meeting concluding on July 29th. The Federal Reserve held its policy

Treasury Yields Rise on Data

July 24th, 2026 A renewed climb in oil prices and firm economic data pushed U.S. Treasury yields to fresh highs

1/22– Weekly Economic Highlights

Housing market momentum remained solid heading into 2021. Total housing starts increased 5.8% in December to an annual pace of 1,669,000 (the strongest rate since 2006). Single family starts jumped 12.0% to an annualized rate of 1,338,000, while multi-family starts declined 13.6% to an annualized rate of 331,000. On a year-over-year basis, total housing starts were up 5.2% in December, driven by growth in single-family starts. Meanwhile, permits were up 4.5% on a month-over-month basis in December, to an annualized rate of 1,709,000 (also the strongest rate since 2006). Meanwhile, existing home sales were stronger than expected in December, up 0.7% month-over-month to a robust annual rate of 6.76 million. On a year-over-year basis, existing home sales were up more than 22% in December. Very low mortgage rates, solid stock market performance, and a meaningful shift toward working from home have provided strong tailwinds for the housing sector. The National Association of Home Builders’ housing market index eased to 83 this month from 86 in December, suggesting that activity in the housing sector may be easing a bit after a very strong fourth quarter.

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