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Fed Raises Rates

September 18, 2026 The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) raised the federal funds target range by a quarter point on

Fed Faces Tough Rate Decision

September 11, 2026 Inflation data took center stage this week ahead of next Wednesday’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) and

Jobs Data Shifts Fed Outlook

September 4, 2026 The prior week’s Jackson Hole keynote by new Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh struck a more hawkish

Fed Signals Patience

August 28, 2026 Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh delivered his first Jackson Hole address this morning, placing inflation firmly at

Labor Market Softens

August 7, 2026 The July employment report was the week’s dominant story as U.S. employers unexpectedly cut jobs during the

Fed Holds Amid Mixed Signals

This week included the much-anticipated Federal Open Market Committee meeting concluding on July 29th. The Federal Reserve held its policy

4/23– Weekly Economic Highlights

Optimism regarding the economic outlook is quite strong, with the consensus forecast calling for 6.3% GDP growth this year, and the majority of economic data continue to surprise to the upside. Overall, we believe the data remains indicative of accelerating economic growth. The Conference Board’s Leading Economic Index (LEI) jumped 1.3% month-over-month in March (much higher than the 0.6% consensus forecast), following a 0.1% decline in February. On a year-over-year basis, the LEI was up 7.9% in March versus down 1.5% in February. This is the first time the index has been positive on a year-over-year basis since the pandemic started, as comparisons have eased. According to the Conference Board, the index suggests that economic momentum is increasing in the near-term, with widespread gains across all ten index components. Meanwhile, the Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI) increased to +1.71 in March (well ahead of the 0.58 consensus forecast) from -1.20 in February. On a 3-month moving average basis, the CFNAI jumped to +0.54 in March from +0.07 in February, pointing to above-trend economic growth

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